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UK Banks : ''Ringfencing will not halt the recovery' :- Haleluia!

http://www.moneymarketing.co.uk/1037787.article?

 

'Members of the Independent Commission on Banking have dismissed claims that its reforms could damage the banking sector and the economic recovery..'

 

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Chinese eye Italy's Bonds and 1.9 trillion Euro Debt '

Italy_berlusconi

Italy bond purchase may be on the cards ....But others doubted whether China would actually go ahead with the purchase. Speculation on a bond purchase arose after Italian Treasury spokesman confirmed on Sept 13 that Italian Economy Minister Giulio Tremonti met Chinese officials last week.

The Financial Times reported that Italy, the euro zone's third-largest economy, had asked China to buy "significant" quantities of its debt.

The Wall Street Journal also reported that Italy was hoping China would buy "large amounts" of debt.

Buoyed by the reports, European shares rose sharply in early trade on Sept 13, following market tension across Europe on Sept 12.

Similar reports that Beijing was buying peripheral euro zone bonds have not proved conclusive in the past, according to Reuters.

"It wouldn't be the first time the market had hoped that China would ride to the rescue," Jeremy Batstone-Carr, strategist at Charles Stanley, said.

"But the Chinese don't have a great track record. They participated in the Portugal bonds this year, and they lost money."

The Italian Treasury spokesman declined to comment on the substance of the meeting with a delegation that a second source said included the head of China Investment Corp (CIC) Lou Jiwei and officials in charge of investment. Separate meetings were held with Italian investment agency Cassa Depositi e Prestiti.

In Beijing, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, the nation's manager and regulator of the foreign exchange reserves, declined to comment on the reports.

The CIC, the nation's sovereign wealth fund managing $300 billion, refused to comment either.

Analysts estimate that about a quarter of China's record foreign currency reserves of $3.2 trillion is in euro assets.

Chinese leaders have repeatedly voiced support for the debt-mired euro zone.

Asked to comment on reports of the meetings in Italy, Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu said at a regular news conference on Sept 13 that Beijing will cooperate with European countries to tackle the financial crisis.

"Europe will continue to be one of China's main overseas investment markets," she said.

"We support European countries in their measures against the crisis, and hope to expand financial, economic and investment cooperation to jointly tackle the financial crisis."

China also hopes the euro zone countries will take effective measures to ensure the safety of China's investment assets, Jiang added.

Premier Wen Jiabao said earlier this month that China retained confidence in the euro and Europe's economy, but the region's governments need to ensure the security of Chinese investments there.

Italy has moved to the center of the euro zone debt crisis amid growing worries about the sustainability of its 1.9 trillion euro ($2.6 trillion) debt.

Xu Hongcai, a senior economist with the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, a government think tank, said on Sept 13 that China may purchase more Italian bonds in the coming months, seeking higher yields than those offered by US bonds.

"Purchasing Italian bonds will be a smart move to diversify foreign exchange reserves, which currently rely too much on US government debt," said Xu, who expressed optimism over the health of the Italian economy.

China is the world's biggest foreign holder of US government debt, with about $1.17 trillion.

If China does increase its holdings of Italian bonds it will boost investor confidence, stabilize the euro and facilitate Sino-European trade, Xu said.

The policy of helping Europe shows China is a responsible stakeholder in the global community, analysts said.

According to a Dow Jones report, Fan Gang, a former adviser to the central bank's monetary policy committee, said on Sept 13 that it is necessary to consider the risks in purchasing Italian bonds.

On Sept 13, Italy auctioned 6.49 billion euros of bonds, but was forced to pay a record yield of 5.6 percent on nearly 4 billion euros of five-year paper.

The surge in yields has underscored mounting fears over the country's debt problem.

Italian debt may increase to as much as 120 percent of its annual GDP this year, the second highest after Greece.

The overall debt situation in Europe is expected to be worse than last year, considering the debt to GDP ratio, said He Liping, a professor at the School of Economics and Business Administration at Beijing Normal University.

In order to reduce potential losses from holding European bonds, Xu, with the center of economic exchanges, suggested that Chinese entrepreneurs increase mergers and acquisitions in the euro region, especially for companies in the high-tech sector.

 

Source: http://www.cdeclips.com/en/nation/fullstory.html?id=69331

 

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After Fukushima, Germany's Renewable Energy Sources Rise to 20 Percent

Old_back_ups_8091

The worldwide implications for nuclear power advocates in light of the 11 March disaster at Japan's Daichi Fukushima nuclear complex, battered first by an earthquake and a subsequent tsunami, are slowly unfolding.

Nations committed to nuclear power are being subjected to a relentless PR barrage by nuclear construction firms, who stand to lose billions if current contracts are suspended or, even worse, cancelled.

 

Despite the bland reassurances of the nuclear power industry that "it can't happen here," in Europe, Italy has canceled plans to construct nuclear reactors, while Germany's Bundestag last month passed a resolution to close all 17 of the nation's nuclear power plants. Seven NPP plants were immediately shuttered with the remainder to be passed out by 2022.

 

So, where to go for the juice?

 

Shifting gears since the beginning of the year, a trend accelerated by Japan's Fukushima debacle, in a statement released by the German Association of Energy and Water Industries (BDEW), commenting on renewable energy input to the country's national grid since January, "Renewable energies have crossed the 20 percent mark in Germany for the first time." Last year, Germany's green energy consumption totaled 18.3 percent of total demand.

 

Following Fukushima, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said that her government's goal was to draw 35 percent of production from renewable energy sources by 2022. While Germany's total energy consumption remained stable at 2010 levels of 275.5 billion kilowatt-hours, energy from sources like wind, biomass, hydroelectric plants, solar panels and waste incineration rose to 57.3 billion kilowatt-hours in the first six months of 2011.

 

Wind power, Germany's most important renewable energy source at present, rose to 20.7 billion kilowatt-hours of total usage, with biomass contributing 5.6 percent, solar 3.5 percent and hydroelectric power a modest 3.3 percent.

 

Germany's new energy policies will depend on the installation of new renewable power capacities with an amendment to the Renewable Energies Act stipulating the doubling of the nation's share of green power to 35 percent minimum no later than 2020 with an especial emphasis on offshore wind farms.

 

While these figures are still modest, they conceal an immense but simple truth.

 

One of the world's most advanced economies has reviewed its commitment to nuclear energy, which accounted for 23 percent of national electricity consumption, and decided to abandon it, a not insignificant commitment, as its first NPP came online in 1969.

 

Even more extraordinary, the decision was made not on the basis of an in-country disaster, but watching the experience of others. As Japan is one of the world's leading technological states and yet was subjected to the Fukushima disaster, Berlin obviously concluded that engineering cannot factor out every natural random event. Like Japan, Germany is a densely populated state, and a nuclear incident and its attendant debris was obviously adjudged as not worth the risk.

 

Looking at the transition not as a debacle but an opportunity, Chancellor Merkel said that the closure of Germany's NNP installations, previously scheduled to be shuttered as late as 2036, would give Germany a competitive advantage in the development of renewable energy, commenting, "As the first big industrialized nation, we can achieve such a transformation toward efficient and renewable energies, with all the opportunities that brings for exports, developing new technologies and jobs."

 

The consequences of Fukushima on the world's multi-trillion dollar civilian nuclear energy industry have yet to play out. But some broad issue outlines are becoming clear.

 

While Germany's prosperity is unmatched in Europe, which allows it to pursue other energy alternatives, other EU nations will undoubtedly be more circumspect in reviewing their nuclear programs.

 

Given the German decision however, it seems likely that nuclear energy companies will redouble their efforts in developing countries short of energy, including Turkey, Lithuania, Bulgaria, China and India, trotting out the usual panaceas about zero greenhouse gas emissions, reactor redesign, etc. etc. etc.

 

Energy deficit countries will be faced with tough calls - build a nuclear plant in 2-3 years and resolve some energy issues, or await Germany's transition to alternatives.

 

Much is riding on Berlin's efforts, but what the future will look like is anyone's guess, and the global nuclear lobby is most unlikely to go quietly into that gentle night.

 

Source: http://oilprice.com/Alternative-Energy/Renewable-Energy/In-the-Aftermath-of-Fukushima-Germanys-Renewable-Energy-Sources-Rise-to-20-Percent.html

 

By. John C.K. Daly of Oil Price

 

 

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Gibraltar Stock Brokers : 'So Much for the Polar Bears - Arctic Drilling to Begin'

2011-03-01_10


The "good" news for wildlife around the Arctic Circle is that BP, renowned despoiler of the Gulf of Mexico, will not be coming.

BP's 2010 Deepwater Horizon oil spill (also referred as the Macondo blowout), which surged for three months, has won a place in the Guinness book of records as the largest accidental marine oil spill in the history of the petroleum industry.

The bad news is that U.S. oil international Exxon Mobil has sealed an Arctic oil exploration deal with Russia's state-owned oil firm Rosneft, following an agreement signed on 29 August in the presence of Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin.

Proving that the Cold War is well and truly dead, at least for multinationals, Putin gushed, "New horizons are opening up. One of the world's leading companies, Exxon Mobil, is starting to work on Russia's strategic shelf and deepwater continental shelf. The potential oil fields are some of the largest in circumpolar Arctic offshore area.

The contract stipulates that Exxon Mobil and Rosneft will jointly spend $3.2 billion on deepwater exploration in the Russian federation's East Prinovozemelskii region of the Kara Sea.

Of course, Exxon Mobil did not walk away empty-handed, as the agreement also allows it to begin oil prospecting in the Black Sea. And Rosneft, pushing away from the casino table, will be permitted to develop fields in the Gulf of Mexico and Texas.

Last but not least, the two companies will also cooperate on the development of oil fields in Western Siberia, where production has been in decline for more than a decade.

But let's get back to the Kara Sea for a moment.

Sandwiched between Novaiia Zemliia island and the Severnaia Zemliia archipelago, compared to its western neighbor, Compared to the Barents Sea, which receives warm Atlantic currents, the Kara Sea is much colder because of its isolation, remaining frozen for over nine months a year.

The ice-locked sea is navigable only during August and September.

Furthermore, as the Kara Sea receives a vast amount of freshwater from the northwards flowing Siberian Ob, Yenisei, Pyasina, and Taimyra rivers, its salinity is variable, introducing yet another hydrological element of uncertainty into the proposed exploration.

Of course, what's a few oil spills amongst comrades? After all, Russian environmentalist groups have protested for years that Russia's Arctic regions were used as isolated dumping grounds for nuclear waste, and according to a March 1993 Russian Federation government official White Paper" between 1965-1988 the Soviet Union dumped six nuclear submarine reactors and ten nuclear reactors into the Kara Sea, along with solid high- and low-level wastes unloaded from Northern Fleet nuclear submarines. What are a few errant hydrocarbons gonna do admixed with some becquerels?

In an eerie echo of insistent Republican choruses of "drill, baby drill" for Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR), the proposed Kara Sea operations will impact the Russian Federation's Great Arctic State Nature Reserve, the nation's largest and in fact, the most massive in all of Europe, which was established in May 1993 by Resolution No.431 of the Russian Federation government. The Kara Sea reserve elements included the Sergei Kirov Archipelago, Voronina Island, the Izvestiy TSIK Islands, the Arctic Institute Islands, Svordrup Island, Uedineniya Island and a number of smaller islands.

And how will that precious oil be transported?

By tanker, of course.

In this regard, consider a report by Russian environmental Group Bellona about the 16 March 2009 incident where the nuclear-powered icebreaker Yamal collided with the 16.168 ton tanker Indiga during ice escort duty in the Kara Sea, which was shuttling between the oil terminal in the Gulf of Ob and the floating oil storage vessel Belokamenka in the Kola Bay. The Indiga suffered a 31foot-long crack on its main deck from the impact of the collision, but fortunately the tanker was only carrying ballast at the time.

The Kara Sea oil exploration concept is one of those ideas that look good in boardrooms but bad in reality. The severe climate, combined with the difficulties of oil transport, should give pause to all except those inhaling seven figure salaries and three martini lunches. And never mind the fact that the waters contain some of the world's richest fishing grounds.

The Exxon Mobil-Rosneft alliance has the tacit blessing of both the U.S. and Russian governments, so it will more than likely go forward.

Offshore drilling comes with attendant risks unlike land-based exploration, which the Macondo blowout proved. If it took BP three months to shut down its well in the relatively shallow and warm waters of the gulf of Mexico, then how do Exxon Mobil and Rossneft propose to deal with a similar incident in waters several hundred miles south of the Arctic Circle that are frozen for all but two months of the year?

Guess we'll find out.

Good thing that polar bears can't vote, but then, they're an endangered species anyway, so even if they could, there are too few to matter.

 

Source: http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/So-Much-for-the-Polar-Bears-Arctic-Drilling-to-Begin.html

 

By. John C.K. Daly of OilPrice.com

 

 

 

 

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